This blog is a record of my market thoughts and trades in real time. I started trading with my savings in January of 2007. My strategy is based on macroeconomics. My idol is George Soros. My style is based on identifying where mainstream market beliefs differ from mine. You may email me at levinegregoryj@gmail.com. Thank you.
A thought just popped into my head. I was thinking about reflexivity. If there is any inflation, that will just make the economy worse. That's because, if anything, inflation would boost commodity prices. Look at gasoline prices - they're back to $2.39 here in Cali and usage, which had been running slightly higher yoy, has turned negative again.
posted by The Obfuscation Oracle @ 11:57 AM
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My strategy is big picture. I am fascinated by credit flows and how central bank and government policy interacts with global trends. I try to time bubbles, predict trend changes and invest accordingly. An inquisitive, contrarian, and skeptical attitude come to me naturally. I believe two things about investing. First, there are plenty of analysts who can pick out which snail (or tech company) will beat the other snails (or tech companies). What I want to know is, "Which asset class is the cheetah standing still?" This is what I have invested years of my time, energy, and thought process to do: understand the confluence of finance and economics and how to speculate on that knowledge.
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